TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS THIS WEEKEND

Texas Weather Tracker TV Alert

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS THIS WEEKEND

At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 21.8 North, longitude 95.2 West. The system is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. The disturbance is expected to reach the coast of northeastern Mexico on Saturday and make landfall there Saturday night.

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TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS THIS WEEKEND

Texas Weather Tracker TV Alert

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS THIS WEEKEND

At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 21.3 North, longitude 94.9 West. The system is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the disturbance is expected to approach the coast of northeastern Mexico on Saturday and make landfall there Saturday night.

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TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS

Texas Weather Tracker TV Alert

TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS

At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 20.7 North, longitude 94.5 West. The system is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the disturbance is expected to approach the coast of northeastern Mexico on Saturday and make landfall there Saturday night.

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Tropical Development Likely

The National Hurricane Center is now giving an area of disturbed weather in the Gulf of Mexico a likely 70% chance of development. It may become a tropical depression later today however, it will be limited on how much further it can strengthen because it is forecast to quickly move on land in northeast Mexico or far south Texas. Once it moves on land the chance of additional development is over. Heavy tropical rains will be possible with the system.

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

Texas Weather Tracker TV Alert

From the National Hurricane Center:

For the North Atlantic Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:Special outlook issued to update discussion of the disturbance inthe southwestern Gulf of Mexico.Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:Satellite imagery indicates that showers and T-Stormsassociated with the broad low pressure area over the southwesternGulf of Mexico and the Bay of Campeche are getting better organized.Environmental conditions appear favorable for additionaldevelopment, and a tropical depression could form later today oron Saturday while the system moves northwestward across thesouthwestern and western Gulf of Mexico. However, by Saturdaynight, the system is expected to move inland over northeasternMexico, which will end its chances of development. An Air ForceReserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate thesystem this afternoon. Interests along the northeastern coast ofMexico and the lower Texas coast should monitor the progress ofthis system. Regardless of development, this system could bringlocally heavy rains to portions of northeastern Mexico and southernTexas over the weekend.* Formation chance through 48 hours medium 60 percent.* Formation chance through 5 days medium 60 percent.Forecaster Beven

Heavy Rain Event Early Next Week

The weather pieces of the puzzle are continuing to come together to get a heavy rain event late Sunday into Monday across North Texas with rain chances lingering Tuesday through Thursday. 1″ – 3″ rainfall totals will be common with some locations picking up well over 3 inches. Rain begins on Sunday throughout the day with the intensity picking up Sunday night into Monday.

Rainfall projections – these numbers will continue to change some as we get closer in time.