Thursday Morning Weather Update: North Texas

Good Thursday morning, North Texas! After an active commute filled with rain and storms across the region, we are finally beginning to dry out here in the Metroplex.

Rainfall Recap

The rainfall totals from this morning’s system have been impressive. Denton and Red Bird took the top spots in the Metroplex, both recording a solid 1″ of rain. However, the heavy moisture wasn’t limited to the city center; locations to our southwest, including Granbury and Hamilton, also saw totals exceeding the 1″ mark.

This Afternoon & Tonight

As we head into the afternoon, expect a shift to very warm and humid conditions. High temperatures will push back into the low 80s under partly cloudy skies. While we can’t entirely rule out a stray afternoon shower or thunderstorm, the vast majority of North Texas will remain dry for the rest of today and through tonight.

Severe Potential: Friday & Saturday

Our attention quickly turns to the next storm system arriving tomorrow.

• Friday Afternoon/Evening: Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop. Some of these could become severe, with large hail and damaging winds being the primary threats.
• Saturday Morning: A cold front will sweep through, bringing a much more widespread opportunity for rain and storms.

Easter Weekend Outlook

The passing front will usher in a noticeable cooldown just in time for the holiday.

• Saturday: Highs will struggle to leave the 60s as the rain clears out by the afternoon.
• Easter Sunday: Conditions look beautiful! Whether you’re heading to sunrise services or afternoon egg hunts, expect mostly sunny skies with temperatures ranging from the upper 40s in the morning to the mix of 60s and 70s by the afternoon.

The Week Ahead

Next week promises a quieter and more “seasonable” pattern. Expect plenty of sunshine and comfortable highs consistently in the 70s.

Good Wednesday morning, North Texas!

Today is a North Texas Weather Ready Day. While we’re starting with another very warm, breezy, and humid day—with highs climbing into the low-to-mid 80s—we are keeping a close eye on a severe weather risk arriving later this evening and overnight. Daytime storm chances remain low at 20% or less, but that changes as the sun goes down.

Tonight’s Storm Timeline & Risks

Severe potential ramps up this evening as a line of storms pushes into our western counties from the Big Country.

• Primary Hazards: The main concerns are damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph and golf ball-sized hail, particularly for areas west of the I-35 corridor.
• Tornado Risk: While the tornado probability remains low, it is not zero, so stay weather-aware.
• Timing: The most intense activity is expected in our western counties between 9 PM and midnight.
• Metroplex Impact: After midnight, the line will move into the DFW Metroplex. Current data suggests a weakening trend as it pushes east, so while the severe threat is lower for DFW, you should still expect heavy rain, frequent lightning, and gusty winds through the overnight hours.

The rain will linger into the Thursday morning commute, so plan for wet roads and extra travel time. The activity will gradually shift southeast, clearing our southern counties around noon.

We won’t have long to dry out, though. Another, potentially more potent round of storms is set for Friday afternoon into Saturday morning. A strong cold front will collide with record-level moisture, bringing another risk of severe weather and a concern for localized flooding, with some areas potentially seeing 1–3 inches of rain.

Easter Sunday Outlook

The good news? The front clears out just in time for Easter. We’ll turn cooler but remain dry for Easter Sunday.

• Morning: Chilly! If you’re heading to a sunrise service, grab a jacket as temperatures will start in the 40s.
• Afternoon: Beautiful and crisp, with highs in the mid-60s, partly cloudy skies, and a fresh northeast breeze.

Good Tuesday morning, North Texas!

We’re off to another mild and somewhat muggy start across the region with a deck of low clouds in place early. Those clouds will gradually break apart through the day, giving way to a mix of sun and clouds this afternoon.

Expect another warm, humid, and breezy day with highs climbing into the 80s area-wide. A steady south wind will continue to pull in Gulf moisture, keeping that sticky feel in the air.

We are starting to transition into a more active weather pattern heading into the next few days.

Late this evening and tonight, a slight chance of storms will develop well to our west along a dryline across the Texas Panhandle and West Texas. A few of those storms may attempt to drift toward our northwestern counties after sunset, but they will likely weaken as they move east. Many areas will stay dry overnight.

Our next and more significant system arrives Wednesday night into early Thursday morning.

A line of showers and thunderstorms is expected to develop to our northwest and move southeast into North Texas. Some of these storms could become strong to severe, with the primary threats being:

• Damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph
• Hail up to around half-dollar size

The greatest severe risk will be west of the I-35 corridor, but storms will likely impact a large portion of the region.

Timing right now brings storms into the Metroplex around midnight, with activity continuing into the Thursday morning commute before gradually pushing east and clearing out later Thursday morning.

We’re not done just yet.

Another round of storms is possible Friday night into Saturday, and once again, a few strong to severe storms cannot be ruled out. We’ll continue to fine-tune those details as we get closer.

The good news — conditions improve just in time for Easter Sunday with dry weather returning.

Temperatures will remain unseasonably warm through the week with highs in the 80s, but behind the late-week system, we do cool things down a bit. Highs by Easter Sunday will fall back into the 60s, bringing a much cooler and more comfortable feel.

Good Monday morning, North Texas!

We’re starting the day under a blanket of low gray stratus clouds, giving us a fairly overcast start across the region. As we head into the afternoon, those clouds will gradually break apart, allowing for more sunshine to return.

It’s going to be a warm, humid, and breezy day. Afternoon highs will climb into the 80s area-wide, with a steady south wind adding to that early-summer feel. Wind gusts could occasionally top 20 mph, but overall, today stays dry.

Tuesday follows a similar pattern, but with a bit more cloud cover hanging around. We’ll once again start the day with low clouds, and they’ll be slower to clear. That means a mostly cloudy sky for much of the day. Even so, it remains warm, humid, and breezy with highs back in the 80s and south winds gusting up to around 20 mph.

By Tuesday evening, our attention turns to the west. Thunderstorms are expected to develop out in the Texas Panhandle and western Oklahoma. A few of those storms may attempt to move toward our northwestern counties late Tuesday night, but there’s a good chance they weaken before reaching much of North Texas.

The better opportunity for widespread rain and storms arrives Wednesday evening into Wednesday night. A line of storms is expected to develop and move from northwest to southeast across the region. Some of these storms could be strong to severe, with the main threats being damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph and hail up to quarter size.

We’re not done there. Another round of rain and storms looks possible Friday night into Saturday, and once again, a few strong or severe storms can’t be ruled out as we continue to track this active pattern.

By the time everything wraps up late Saturday, many areas across North Texas could pick up between 1 to 3 inches of rainfall, with locally higher amounts possible where storms repeatedly move over the same locations.

Temperatures will remain warm through the end of the week and into the weekend, with highs generally in the 80s. Behind this active weather pattern, we do expect a cooldown heading into Easter Sunday, with highs dropping back into the 60s under clearing skies.

We’ll continue to fine-tune the timing and severity details over the next couple of days.

Good Sunday morning, North Texas!

After a cooler and gray Saturday, we’re turning the corner in a big way today. Sunshine returns, and with a breezy south wind in place, temperatures will respond quickly this afternoon. Highs will climb back into the 80s area-wide, making for a warm and pleasant end to the weekend. That south wind will stay noticeable, with gusts at times reaching up to 25 mph.

The warming trend doesn’t stop there. As we head into the start of the workweek on Monday, even warmer air moves in. Afternoon highs will push into the mid to upper 80s across much of North Texas, with a few of our western counties flirting with the 90-degree mark. Skies will be partly cloudy, and that gusty south wind will continue to add to the early taste of summer.

Looking ahead, our pattern becomes more active. Rain and thunderstorm chances return beginning late Tuesday, with additional rounds possible Wednesday into Thursday, and again late Friday. As it stands right now, a few of these storms could become strong, possibly even severe, depending on how the setup evolves.

In addition to the severe threat, we’ll also be watching the potential for locally heavy rainfall, which could lead to pockets of minor flooding if storms track over the same areas.

We’ll be fine-tuning those details over the next couple of days, so be sure to stay weather-aware as we head deeper into the week.

Good Saturday morning, North Texas!

We’re off to a noticeably cooler start today, with morning temperatures settling into the 50s across much of the region. That cooler air is going to stick around through the day, as a brisk northeast wind early keeps temperatures from recovering very much this afternoon.

Expect highs to remain in the 50s to near 60 degrees for most areas, making it a much different feel compared to the warmth we’ve had recently. Low gray cloud cover will also be stubborn, likely hanging on through much of the day and limiting sunshine.

As we head into tonight, skies will gradually clear and winds will begin to relax, setting the stage for a quick turnaround heading into Sunday.

And it will be a completely different story tomorrow.

Southerly winds return and become breezy once again, helping temperatures rebound quickly under mostly sunny skies. Highs will surge back into the 80s area-wide, bringing back that warm, spring-like feel.

That marks the beginning of a warmer pattern heading into next week. Temperatures will remain well above average, with highs generally in the 80s to near 90 through the early part of the week. A slight cooldown is possible by midweek, bringing highs back into the 70s.

The bigger story, though, will be the return of rain chances. We’re watching multiple opportunities for showers and storms as we move through the week.

One key aspect of the forecast we’ll be monitoring closely is the potential for severe weather. While it’s still several days out, a few ingredients are beginning to come together that could support at least some severe storm risk.

We’ll continue to refine the details and keep you updated as we get closer.

Happy Friday, North Texas!

We’re heading into the weekend with a classic “tale of two forecasts” as a cold front moves through today, bringing a quick cooldown before temperatures rebound just as fast by Sunday.

That cold front is already making its way south across the region this morning. Our northern counties will begin to feel the cooler air first, while areas farther south will still warm close to 80 degrees ahead of the front.

For the Metroplex, expect the front to move through right around midday. Once it passes, temperatures will begin to fall through the afternoon with a noticeable shift to a breezy north wind. Low gray cloud cover will also fill in behind the front, and a few spotty light showers can’t be ruled out.

If you have plans this Friday evening, expect a much different feel compared to recent nights. It will be breezy, cloudy, and noticeably cooler with temperatures dropping into the 50s.

Overnight, we’ll hold onto the clouds with a continued chance for a few light, scattered showers. Lows by early Saturday morning will dip into the 40s and 50s across North Texas.

Saturday will be the coolest day of the stretch. Expect mostly cloudy skies with a brisk north wind throughout the day. A few light showers may linger, mainly south of the Metroplex during the morning hours. Afternoon highs will struggle to get out of the 50s and 60s.

The cooldown doesn’t last long. By Sunday, winds shift back to the south and a ridge of high pressure begins to build back in. That will send temperatures soaring right back into the 80s across all of North Texas under a warmer and more spring-like setup.

Looking ahead to next week, we continue to monitor signs of a pattern shift. Rain and storm chances are expected to return to the forecast, and there could even be the potential for some stronger storms depending on how the system evolves.

Good Tuesday morning, North Texas!

We’re starting the day with a blanket of low clouds across the region, but don’t let that fool you – those clouds will gradually break apart through the late morning, giving way to intervals of afternoon sunshine.

Temperatures will respond nicely to that added sun, climbing into the 80s area-wide this afternoon. Winds will remain light and somewhat variable early on, but expect a shift to a southerly breeze later today, generally around 5 to 15 mph.

Heading into tonight, low gray stratus clouds will begin pushing north from the Gulf Coast. That cloud deck may make it into parts of our far southeastern counties – including Navarro, Anderson, Henderson, and Freestone counties – by late tonight. With the added moisture in place, a few areas of patchy fog could also develop toward early Wednesday morning.

The warming trend continues on Wednesday as south winds pick up, helping temperatures climb even higher. Highs will range from the 80s to near 90 degrees across North Texas. With the warmer temperatures, dry vegetation, and increasing south winds, grassfire danger will be elevated – especially across our western counties.

Looking ahead, a cold front is set to move through the region on Friday. This front won’t bring much in the way of rain, but it will knock temperatures back for a brief period. Highs on Saturday will be noticeably cooler, holding in the 60s before a quick rebound into the 80s returns by Sunday.

The overall pattern remains dry in the short term, but there are early signals that a more active weather pattern could develop as we head into the start of April. That may bring back chances for rain and possibly storms to North Texas.

Good Sunday morning, North Texas!

We’re in for another hot day across the region as this early-season heat wave peaks this afternoon. High temperatures in the Metroplex will climb into the low to mid 90s, and we could be flirting with a bit of weather history. The current record high at DFW for today is 93 degrees, set back in 1934 – and that’s right in line with our forecast. So, a tie or even a new record is certainly possible.

Out west, the heat will be even more intense. Across the Big Country and our western counties, temperatures could easily surge toward the 100-degree mark under mostly sunny skies and a steady south wind.

Along with the heat, fire danger remains a major concern. Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are in place once again today. In fact, a Red Flag Warning is in effect for our northwestern counties through 8 PM this evening. With dry vegetation, low humidity, and gusty winds, any fires that develop could spread rapidly. Be sure to avoid outdoor burning and anything that could create sparks.

Relief is on the way, though. A cold front will begin moving into North Texas late this afternoon and evening, reaching the Metroplex between about 7 PM and 10 PM. Behind the front, winds will shift to the north and temperatures will begin to fall, leading to a much cooler overnight. Lows by Monday morning will drop into the 50s and 60s.

That front will make a noticeable difference as we start the new week. Monday will bring cooler conditions with highs in the 70s and 80s, along with mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies. A refreshing north breeze will make it feel even more comfortable compared to the weekend heat.

The cooldown doesn’t last too long, though. Temperatures will begin climbing again by midweek, returning to the 90s. With continued dry conditions, fire danger will remain something we’ll need to monitor closely in the days ahead.