Rain Chances, Strong Cold Front

Happy Friday, North Texas. If you’re braving the stores or shopping online from the couch, you’ll be greeted with pleasantly cool and dry weather today. Highs will climb into the upper 50s to near 60 under a mostly sunny to partly cloudy sky – perfect for standing in those doorbuster lines or taking a break between errands.

Isolated shower chances this afternoon.
Widespread areas of rain and a few T-Storms tonight.

The calm won’t last long, though. Rain chances begin creeping in from the west late this afternoon and especially tonight. Expect scattered showers to overspread the region after sunset, with most areas picking up a quick quarter to a half-inch of rain by Saturday morning.

Limited risk of a severe storm or two Saturday afternoon ahead of a strong cold front.

Saturday will be a transition day: mostly cloudy, breezy, and milder with highs in the mid-to-upper 60s to around 70. A few thunderstorms will be possible, mainly during the afternoon and early evening ahead of a strong cold front. While most storms should remain sub-severe, there is an isolated risk of a stronger storm capable of producing quarter-size hail (1″) and damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph, especially along and east of I-35 during the late afternoon/early evening hours.

Once that potent cold front roars through Saturday night, get ready for a big cool-down – the coldest air of the season so far will settle in for the rest of the holiday weekend.

  • Sunday: Mostly cloudy, windy, and chilly. Highs will struggle to get out of the 40s.
  • Sunday night–Monday morning: Widespread freezing temperatures are likely across the DFW Metroplex and points north, with lows in the upper 20s to low 30s. Protect sensitive plants and pipes.
  • Monday: Still cold with highs only in the low-to-mid 40s. Another quick wave of light precipitation is possible during the day. Right now, it looks like this stays all rain for North Texas, with any wintry mix or snow staying well north into Oklahoma.

Bundle up if you’re heading out for more holiday deals this weekend, and stay weather-aware Saturday afternoon and evening. Have a safe and happy Thanksgiving weekend.

Thanksgiving Forecast

Happy Thanksgiving, North Texas! If you’re heading out for turkey trots, or for family dinner at grandmas house, you’re in for a treat: plenty of sunshine, light winds, and highs climbing into the upper 50s to near 60. It’s the kind of crisp, gorgeous fall day that makes you glad you live here.

Enjoy it while it lasts – our next weather maker starts knocking on the door tomorrow (Friday). Clouds will thicken up through the day, and by Friday night a few light showers could pop up, especially west of I-35. Nothing major – just enough to make you grab the umbrella on the way out.

Scattered showers with a few rumbles of thunder on Saturday. Shifting east through the afternoon.

The better chance of rain arrives Saturday. From early morning through around lunchtime, look for scattered showers and even a few rumbles of thunder as the main upper-level system swings through. Rainfall amounts won’t be huge (generally a quarter to half an inch, with locally higher amounts possible), but roads could be slick for holiday shoppers or post Thanksgiving travel. The good news? The rain starts tapering off during the mid-to-late afternoon as the system gets kicked out by stronger winds aloft. By Saturday night, we should be drying out nicely.

Trailing that system, a reinforcing shot of colder air arrives Saturday night into Sunday. A crisp cold front will sweep through, dropping our temperatures pretty dramatically heading into next week. Highs will struggle to get out of the 40s starting Sunday and continuing through much of the following week – yes, that’s about 15-20 degrees below average for early December. Lows will dip into the upper 20s and low 30s, so heaters will be earning their keep.

Another quick wave could bring a few more light showers around Monday, but it’ll be chilly rain — no wintry mix is expected in the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex or surrounding areas at this point. Models have been fairly consistent keeping any frozen precipitation well north and east of us.

Bottom line: Soak up today’s sunshine, keep the rain gear handy Friday night through Saturday afternoon, then bundle up starting this weekend. Winter is sending its first real “hello” of the season next week.

Have a wonderful and safe Thanksgiving, everyone.

Holiday Forecast Update:

Enjoy a gorgeous Tuesday afternoon across North Texas. Plenty of sunshine and pleasantly mild temperatures will climb into the mid-60s to low 70s across most of the region – perfect weather for lunch outside or getting those pre-Thanksgiving errands done.

Cooler Wednesday behind tonight’s cold front.

A cold front slips through tonight. Don’t expect a big Arctic blast – this is more of a gentle nudge back toward normal late-November weather. By Wednesday and Thursday, morning lows will dip into the 40s (with some 30s north and west), and daytime highs will settle into the upper 50s to low 60s – classic Thanksgiving-week weather.

The good news? We stay completely dry through Friday, so travel across Texas on Wednesday and Thursday should be smooth and stress-free.

Beautiful weather Thanksgiving afternoon.

Thanksgiving Day itself looks fantastic: start the morning chilly in the 30s and 40s (grab that hoodie for the turkey trot!), but bright sunshine quickly takes over. By afternoon, the Metroplex and much of North Texas will warm into the upper 50s to near 60° – ideal for football in the backyard or a post-meal walk.

Our next chance of rain holds off until Saturday, and even then it doesn’t look like a heavy soaker – just scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Looking ahead, the chilliest air of the season so far arrives early next week. Highs may struggle to get out of the 40s by Monday and Tuesday, with overnight lows potentially dropping into the 20s and 30s for many spots. Time to find those heavier coats!

In short: beautiful weather for Thanksgiving travel and the big day itself, then get ready for a real taste of winter early next week. Enjoy the sunshine while it lasts.

Impressive Rainfall Totals

Good morning, DFW
If you stepped outside this morning, you already knew: it was a soggy, stormy mess across the Metroplex. Heavy rain and embedded thunderstorms made the Monday commute a slog, with numerous slowdowns and ponding on roads from Fort Worth to Dallas and everywhere in between.

Rainfall totals have been impressive. Official reporting sites (DFW Airport, Dallas Love Field, Fort Worth Meacham, etc.) picked up 1 to just over 2 inches since midnight. Radar estimates, which capture the heaviest cells, suggest isolated areas – especially along and north of I-20 and in parts of Denton and Collin counties – likely saw 3+ inches. A few spots may have even nudged 4 inches where training thunderstorms sat for a couple of hours.

The good news? The steady, widespread rain is tapering off as we speak. By early to mid-afternoon, we should see the rain exit the core Metroplex cities with even some breaks of sunshine possible later today. It’ll feel noticeably more humid and muggy once the rain ends, but at least the windshield wipers can take a break.

That said, don’t put the umbrella too far away just yet. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will linger this afternoon and early evening across our southeastern counties (think Anderson, Henderson, Freestone Counties, and areas toward Tyler and Lufkin). A few of those storms could intensify, and the Storm Prediction Center has placed that region under a risk for severe weather. Large hail and damaging wind gusts are the primary threats, but there’s a low-end chance of a brief spin-up tornado if any storm can get rotating. Nothing widespread expected, but we’ll keep an eye on radar.

Cold front arrives Tuesday.
Cooler area-wide by Wednesday.

Behind today’s activity, a reinforcing cold front slides through Tuesday night into early Wednesday. That’ll knock temperatures down just in time for Thanksgiving travel. Highs Wednesday and Thanksgiving Day will struggle through the 50s and 60s, with morning lows Thanksgiving morning dipping into the mid-to-upper 30s and low 40s across North Texas. Perfect football and leftovers weather!

The forecast stays dry and cool through Friday before our next rain chance arrives this coming weekend. Too early for specifics, but it looks like another round of showers and storms will be possible.

Heavy Rain and Severe Risk Return

North Texas, get ready for another soggy stretch. A fresh round of rain, thunderstorms, and potential flooding is headed our way starting this evening and lasting through Monday.

Here’s the breakdown:

Today (Sunday afternoon/evening)
A potent upper-level storm system will eject out of the Rockies and slide into the Plains later today. As it approaches, showers and thunderstorms will blossom across western and central Oklahoma and push into North Texas by late afternoon and evening. The first wave of rain arrives in our western counties (think Breckinridge, Graham, Mineral Wells) between 4-7 PM, then spreads east toward the Metroplex after sunset.

Rainfall tonight into early Monday could be heavy at times, with widespread 1-3 inch totals likely. A few spots—especially along and west of I-35—could pick up isolated 4-inch amounts if training storms set up. That means another round of street flooding and rises on creeks/small rivers is very possible, especially in areas that are already saturated from recent rains.

Severe weather risk tonight
The Storm Prediction Center has placed our far western counties (Palo Pinto, Stephens, Young, Jack, and points west) under a marginal or isolated risk. The main threats will be large hail (up to quarter size or slightly larger) and damaging wind gusts. The severe threat diminishes quickly as you move east toward the Metroplex tonight.

Monday’s turn
The bigger severe-weather concern shifts to North and Central Texas on Monday, especially from midday through the evening. The Storm Prediction Center has outlined a more probable risk along and southeast of a line from Waco to Sulphur Springs – basically the DFW Metroplex and all areas southeast.

Primary threat: Damaging straight-line winds (60-70 mph gusts possible in the stronger storms).
Secondary threat: A few spin-up tornadoes can’t be ruled out, especially southeast of the Metroplex in the Tyler-Longview-Palestine-Corsicana corridor where low-level turning and better moisture convergence will overlap.

Timing on Monday: Expect scattered storms to re-intensify along and ahead of a cold front during the late morning and afternoon, with the most widespread activity from about 2 PM to 10 PM.

Bottom line

  • Heavy rain & flooding remain the #1 concern region-wide (another 1-3 inches is likely for most).
  • Damaging winds are the main severe threat on Monday, especially east and southeast of DFW.
  • Tornado risk stays low but isn’t zero – mainly southeast of the Metroplex late Monday afternoon/evening.

Stay weather-aware, keep charging those phones, and have a way to get warnings. We’ll keep you updated as the details sharpen.

Jacket Weather is Back, 60s Today, Widespread Rain Arrives Sunday Night

North Texas, grab a light jacket – we’re in for a noticeably cooler Saturday. After a taste of early-November warmth the past couple of days, a cold front that slipped through overnight has flipped the switch. Look for highs today only climbing into the mid-and-upper 60s under a veil of high, thin cirrus clouds streaming in from the west by late day. A fresh north breeze 5-15 mph will make it feel even cooler, especially this morning and again late in the day.

Tonight stays quiet and downright chilly for late November. Under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, temperatures will dip into the 40s across our northern and western hometowns, with upper 40s to near 50 holding on in the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex and areas south and east.

Sunday will feel nearly identical – sunshine mixed with clouds, highs again in the 60s, and light and variable winds by afternoon.

The forecast gets more interesting heading into the second half of the weekend. Our next storm system approaches from the west, with showers and a few embedded thunderstorms likely developing late Sunday afternoon across western North Texas. The rain becomes more widespread Sunday night and lingers into at least the first half of Monday. While the severe-weather threat remains very low (the atmosphere just doesn’t look energetic enough for anything organized), a slow-moving batch of heavy rain is possible. Many locations could pick up 1–3 inches of rain by the time it wraps up Monday evening, with locally higher amounts where the heaviest bands set up.

So enjoy the crisp, fall-like weekend while it lasts – and keep the umbrella handy by Sunday night! 🌧️🍂

Weekend Outlook

After an absolutely soaked Thursday across North Texas, the Dallas-Fort Worth area shattered daily rainfall records with many spots picking up close to (or even slightly over) 4 inches of rain in just a few hours. Flash flooding was widespread, roads turned into rivers, and umbrellas were basically useless against that kind of deluge.

The good news? We’re finally drying out today (Friday). The storm system that brought all the rain has pushed through, taking the deep moisture with it. Expect gradually clearing skies through the day, with a northwesterly breeze, and highs only climbing into the 70s.

This weekend stays drier and noticeably cooler thanks to that fresh shot of fall air. Saturday and Sunday mornings will start off chilly around 50 across most of the Metroplex, with afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 60s under plenty of sunshine Saturday with increasing clouds and rain chances returning Sunday.

Unfortunately the break doesn’t last long. Another storm system approaches from the west late Sunday into Monday, spreading a decent chance of showers and a few thunderstorms back into North Texas. It doesn’t look like a repeat of a repeat of Thursday’s flood-fest, but a widespread 1-3 inches of rain is possible, with locally higher amounts where heavier storms train.

Bottom line:

  • Friday: Drying out, mild.
  • Saturday: Sunny and crisp.
  • Sunday: Sunshine early, clouds and rain chances return by late day.
  • Monday: Mostly cloudy with periods of rain likely.

Grab the jacket this weekend, but keep the umbrella handy – Texas weather refuses to stay quiet for long! 🌧️ → ☀️ → 🌧️

More Heavy Rain & Flash Flooding Likely this Afternoon. Additional 1-3″ Possible

Radar estimated rainfall total from this morning.

This morning got off to a soggy and stormy start across the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex and much of North Texas. A heavy line of thunderstorms, fueled by deep Gulf moisture, rolled through between roughly 4 AM and 10 AM. Widespread 2–3 inch rainfall totals were common from Dallas and Fort Worth eastward through Rockwall, Kaufman, and Hunt counties. Some of the heaviest rain set up over eastern Collin County (Anna, Melissa, Princeton, and Farmersville areas), where radar estimates and early gauge reports indicate isolated pockets of 5–6 inches fell in just a few hours. Numerous roads were underwater, including parts of US-75, SH-121, and several low-water crossings in Collin and Grayson counties. The National Weather Service issued multiple Flash Flood Warnings for the entire DFW area, and several school districts delayed opening or switched to remote learning.

Late afternoon Future Radar depiction.

This Afternoon & Evening
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop and expand in coverage through the afternoon and early evening hours. An additional 1–3 inches of rain is possible in the areas that train repeatedly, especially along and east of I-35E/I-35W corridor. The atmosphere remains very moist and marginally unstable, so an isolated strong to severe storm cannot be ruled out. The main threats with any severe cell would be quarter-size hail (1″ diameter) and damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph. Tornado risk appears very low. However, the primary concern continues to be heavy rainfall and renewed localized flash flooding, particularly in urban areas with poor drainage and locations that have already received several inches this morning.

Tonight into Friday
Rain coverage will gradually diminish from west to east after sunset as drier air begins filtering in behind the front. Most locations should be dry by midnight or shortly after. Lingering low clouds and areas of fog are possible overnight, with lows in the upper 50s to low 60s.

Friday looks pleasant with partly to mostly sunny skies, lighter winds, and highs in the mid-to-upper 70s. A fantastic day to dry out.

Quick Impact Summary

  • Travel: Allow extra time this afternoon; avoid driving through flooded roadways (“Turn Around, Don’t Drown”).
  • Outdoor plans: Postpone if possible until Friday.
  • Weekend preview: Dry and seasonable Saturday, with another chance of showers returning late Sunday into Monday.

Soggy Forecast Ahead

A very active stretch of North Texas weather kicks off later today and runs through early Friday morning.

Today (Wednesday): Scattered showers and thunderstorms will begin developing this afternoon, mainly west of I-35. A sharp dryline will set up across the Big Country and western North Texas late this afternoon and evening. Any storms that manage to form along or just east of that dryline (generally west of a Graham, Mineral Wells, Stephenville line) will have the potential to become severe, with large hail (some possibly golf-ball size or larger) and damaging wind gusts as the primary threats. Tornado risk appears very low, but not completely zero in those far western counties.

Although there is an isolated risk of severe weather across all of North Texas – the more likely area would be our western counties through the evening hours.
Half dollar sized hail and winds up to 60 mph are the primary severe weather concerns.

Overnight: scattered showers and a few rumbles of thunder will continue across the region, but widespread severe weather is not expected.

Future Radar depiction across North Texas late day Thursday.

Thursday: Rain coverage increases significantly, especially from mid-morning onward. The Thursday morning commute across the DFW Metroplex will likely be wet, with periods of moderate to heavy rain at times. The evening commute looks even wetter – widespread rain and embedded heavy downpours are expected across North Texas during the afternoon and evening drive. Ponding on roadways, low-visibility, and hydroplaning will all be concerns.

Rain gradually tapers off from west to east late Thursday night into early Friday morning as the upper-level system finally pulls away.

Rainfall Totals (through early Friday morning):

  • Most of the DFW Metroplex and areas east: 1.5–3 inches common
  • Isolated higher amounts of 3–5 inches possible, especially in areas that see repeated rounds of heavy rain or training storms

Bottom line: Keep the umbrella handy the next 36 hours, plan for extra travel time Thursday (especially the evening commute), and stay weather-aware this evening if you live in our far western counties. We’ll keep you updated hour-by-hour as this active pattern unfolds!

Dallas-Fort Worth Shatters 51 Year Old November Heat Record

The official weather station at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport soared to 87° this afternoon, officially breaking the previous November 18 record high of 83° set way back in 1973 – that’s a full 51 years ago.

To put this in perspective:

  • The average high for mid-November in DFW is around 66°.
  • Today’s 87° is more typical of early September than late fall.
  • This is now the latest 85°+ day ever recorded in the DFW climate record (previous latest was November 15, 2016, at 88°).
  • It’s also only the fourth time on record that DFW has reached 85° or higher this late in the calendar year.

Remarkable warmth for so deep into November – a testament to the powerful upper ridge that has parked itself over Texas this week. Enjoy it while it lasts… cooler air finally arrives by the weekend.