Happy Friday North Texas!
Good morning. We’re tracking a very typical North Texas spring pattern heading into this weekend – what we often call a ‘conditional’ setup. While the ingredients for severe weather are certainly present in the atmosphere, the ‘big question’ is whether they will come together in your specific backyard to trigger storms. Because of this, the overall probability of rain at any one location remains low, but that does not mean we can let our guard down.
Today: Friday
Expect another warm, breezy, and humid afternoon. We’ll see morning clouds give way to partial sunshine, which will help build the instability we need to watch. We are currently monitoring a cluster of showers and storms in southeastern Oklahoma; while those will dissipate before reaching North Texas, they are leaving behind an outflow boundary. That boundary will be the focus for potential storm redevelopment later this afternoon. If storms do fire, they’ll likely track into our northeastern counties. Should they develop, they have the potential to become severe, with large, damaging hail, wind gusts exceeding 60 mph, and a non-zero threat for a tornado or two.
The Weekend Outlook: Saturday & Sunday
“We are looking at a similar ‘hit-or-miss’ scenario for both Saturday and Sunday.
- Saturday: We’re watching two potential triggers. First, a dryline to our west where storms could initiate by late day and push east. Second, we’ll be monitoring another wave of potential development drifting out of southeastern Oklahoma again.
- Sunday: We’ll keep a close eye on any activity initiating to our west as the pattern persists.
Bottom Line
The environment remains capable of producing large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes each day this weekend. Please go about your weekend plans, but stay weather-aware. Ensure you have a way to receive alerts, and if you see dark skies or active weather moving into your area, be ready to seek shelter immediately. We’ll be right here monitoring the data and tracking any shifts in the atmosphere all weekend long.