Good Sunday morning, North Texas!
Today marks the beginning of a noticeable shift in our weather pattern as we transition into a more active stretch over the next several days.
For today, expect warm and breezy conditions under partly cloudy skies. Afternoon highs will climb well into the 80s area-wide – running well above normal for early March. A steady southerly wind at 10 to 20 mph will keep that spring feel in the air.
Late this afternoon and evening, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop across Oklahoma. A few of those storms could drift south toward the Red River late tonight. The better chance for any activity locally would mainly be north of Highway 380, closer to the Red River. Even there, rain chances remain fairly low – around 20 percent – so most locations will stay dry overnight.
Monday morning will start with a deck of low gray clouds and perhaps a bit of patchy drizzle in spots, but those clouds should gradually lift and break by late morning. Expect increasing sunshine through the afternoon with highs again near 80 degrees. Humidity levels will continue to rise as a southerly wind holds around 10 to 15 mph.
By midweek, the pattern turns more unsettled. Rain and thunderstorm chances increase beginning Wednesday, and several rounds of showers and storms appear possible through next weekend – and potentially even into the following week. This will be a more moisture-rich setup, so locally heavy rainfall and pockets of flooding could become a concern if storms repeatedly move over the same areas.
There are also early signals that a few stronger storms could develop during this period. While it’s too soon to pinpoint exact timing or severity, it is worth noting that March 1st marks the climatological start of our spring severe weather season here in North Texas. Now is a good time to review your severe weather safety plan and make sure you have multiple ways to receive warnings on active weather days.
Despite the increasing rain chances, temperatures will remain above normal through much of the week. Highs will stay in the 80s through midweek before gradually easing back into the 70s by next weekend — still mild for this time of year.
We’re entering a much more dynamic stretch of weather, so stay tuned as we fine-tune the timing and impacts in the days ahead. -William
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