North Texas, get ready for another soggy stretch. A fresh round of rain, thunderstorms, and potential flooding is headed our way starting this evening and lasting through Monday.
Here’s the breakdown:
Today (Sunday afternoon/evening)
A potent upper-level storm system will eject out of the Rockies and slide into the Plains later today. As it approaches, showers and thunderstorms will blossom across western and central Oklahoma and push into North Texas by late afternoon and evening. The first wave of rain arrives in our western counties (think Breckinridge, Graham, Mineral Wells) between 4-7 PM, then spreads east toward the Metroplex after sunset.
Rainfall tonight into early Monday could be heavy at times, with widespread 1-3 inch totals likely. A few spots—especially along and west of I-35—could pick up isolated 4-inch amounts if training storms set up. That means another round of street flooding and rises on creeks/small rivers is very possible, especially in areas that are already saturated from recent rains.
Severe weather risk tonight
The Storm Prediction Center has placed our far western counties (Palo Pinto, Stephens, Young, Jack, and points west) under a marginal or isolated risk. The main threats will be large hail (up to quarter size or slightly larger) and damaging wind gusts. The severe threat diminishes quickly as you move east toward the Metroplex tonight.
Monday’s turn
The bigger severe-weather concern shifts to North and Central Texas on Monday, especially from midday through the evening. The Storm Prediction Center has outlined a more probable risk along and southeast of a line from Waco to Sulphur Springs – basically the DFW Metroplex and all areas southeast.
Primary threat: Damaging straight-line winds (60-70 mph gusts possible in the stronger storms).
Secondary threat: A few spin-up tornadoes can’t be ruled out, especially southeast of the Metroplex in the Tyler-Longview-Palestine-Corsicana corridor where low-level turning and better moisture convergence will overlap.
Timing on Monday: Expect scattered storms to re-intensify along and ahead of a cold front during the late morning and afternoon, with the most widespread activity from about 2 PM to 10 PM.
Bottom line
- Heavy rain & flooding remain the #1 concern region-wide (another 1-3 inches is likely for most).
- Damaging winds are the main severe threat on Monday, especially east and southeast of DFW.
- Tornado risk stays low but isn’t zero – mainly southeast of the Metroplex late Monday afternoon/evening.
Stay weather-aware, keep charging those phones, and have a way to get warnings. We’ll keep you updated as the details sharpen.