Warm Today, Cold Front Incoming

Today’s Persistent Warmth and Dryness

North Texas can expect another day of unseasonably warm and dry conditions as high pressure remains firmly in control of the region’s weather. Afternoon highs will climb into the low 80s across the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex.

Weak Front Stalls North of the Red River

A subtle disturbance sliding across the Southern Plains will nudge a weak cold front southward through Oklahoma this afternoon. However, this boundary will lose momentum and stall along the Red River by evening, never crossing into Texas. As a result, North Texas stays on the warm side of the front, with only a slight increase in high-level clouds possible late in the day. Winds will be noticeably lighter than yesterday; sustained speeds of 5-15 mph with occasional gusts to 20 mph out of the south-southeast.

Reduced Fire Danger in the Big Country

That reduction in wind, combined with slightly higher afternoon humidity west of I-35, will ease elevated fire-weather concerns across the Big Country. While cured grasses and low fuel moisture remain a risk, the combination of lighter winds and a brief uptick in relative humidity will keep the fire danger from reaching the elevated levels seen yesterday. Fire managers still urge caution with any outdoor burning or activities that could spark a wildfire.

Cold Front #1 Friday

The next notable change arrives Friday afternoon when a weak boundary slips in from the northwest. This shallow cold front will cross the Red River around midday and push through DFW by late afternoon, accompanied by a wind shift to the north at 10–15 mph. Temperatures Friday will top out in the low 80s before the front passes, then hold in the 70s through the evening. Importantly, this front will be moisture-starved; no rain is expected, and skies will remain mostly clear.

Saturday’s Stronger Cold Front

The main event comes Saturday as a much stronger cold front – backed by a vigorous upper-level trough digging across the Central Plains – sweeps through the region. The front is forecast to cross DFW later in the afternoon, bringing a sharp wind shift to the north-northwest with gusts of 25–35 mph. Overnight lows by Sunday night will dip into the mid-to-upper 30s, flirting with the first widespread freeze of the season for locations north and west of I-35. Like Friday’s front, Saturday’s system will also pass dry – no measurable precipitation is anticipated, though a few high-based showers can’t be entirely ruled out along the immediate front in far northeastern Texas.