Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

From the National Hurricane Center:

For the North Atlantic Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on HurricaneGabrielle, located over the central subtropical Atlantic a fewhundred miles southeast of Bermuda.Central Tropical Atlantic:Shower and T-Storm activity associated with a tropical wavelocated about midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cabo VerdeIslands has increased since yesterday. Environmental conditionsare forecast to become more favorable for development by tomorrow,and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle to latterpart of this week while while the system moves west-northwestwardto northwestward across the central Atlantic.* Formation chance through 48 hours low 20 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days high 70 percent.East of the Leeward Islands:A tropical wave located about 400 miles east of the Leeward Islandscontinues to produce disorganized showers and T-Storms.Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for slowdevelopment over the next few days as the wave moves quicklywestward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. By the latter partof this week, the system is expected to slow down and turn morenorthwestward, and a tropical depression could form late this weekwhen the system is over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean or near theBahamas. Regardless of development, gusty winds and showers areexpected to affect portions of the Leeward Islands late tonight andTuesday.* Formation chance through 48 hours low 10 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days medium 40 percent.Forecaster Blake