Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

From the National Hurricane Center:

For the North Atlantic Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on HurricaneErin, located over the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.Near the Leeward Islands (AL90):Showers and T-Storms are showing some signs of organization inassociation with a tropical wave located about a hundred mileseast-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Environmentalconditions appear conducive for further development of this system,and a tropical depression or tropical storm is very likely to formthis weekend while it moves northwestward and then northward, inbetween the northern Leeward Islands and Bermuda.* Formation chance through 48 hours high 80 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days high 90 percent.Central Tropical Atlantic (AL99):Showers and T-Storms associated with a tropical wave locatedabout midway between Africa and the Windward Islands have becomeless organized overnight. While there is still some chance that ashort-lived tropical depression could form during the next day orso, the system is expected to move through a less conduciveenvironment into Saturday. The wave could reach a slightly morefavorable environment again late this weekend into early next weekas it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph over the central tropicalAtlantic and approaches the Lesser Antilles.* Formation chance through 48 hours medium 40 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days medium 50 percent.Central Subtropical Atlantic:A small area of low pressure located well southwest of the Azoreshas weakened overnight, and no development is expected while itdrifts northward.* Formation chance through 48 hours low near 0 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days low near 0 percent.Forecaster Blake