Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

From the National Hurricane Center:

For the North Atlantic Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on TropicalStorm Erin, located over the central tropical Atlantic.Southwestern Gulf (AL98):A broad area of low pressure located over the Bay of Campeche isproducing disorganized showers and T-Storms. The low isforecast to move west-northwestward across the southwestern Gulfduring the next day or two, where environmental conditions aremarginally conducive for further development. The system isexpected to move inland over northeastern Mexico or southern Texasby late Friday, ending its chances of tropical cyclone formation.Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible alongportions of northeastern Mexico and southern Texas over the nextfew days.* Formation chance through 48 hours low 20 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days low 20 percent.Forecaster Bucci/Pasch