Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

From the National Hurricane Center:

For the North Atlantic Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:Central Tropical Atlantic:A tropical wave located about 900 miles east-southeast of thesouthern Windward Islands is producing a large area of showers andT-Storms. Environmental conditions appear conducive forfurther development, and a tropical depression is likely to formduring the next couple of days before the system reaches theWindward Islands Tuesday night or possibly while moving westwardacross the southern Caribbean Sea Wednesday through Friday. A NOAAHurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the systemthis afternoon. Interests in the Windward Islands and along thenortheastern coast of Venezuela should monitor the progress of thissystem, and tropical storm watches or warnings could be required forportions of these areas later today. Regardless of development,locally heavy rainfall is possible over the Windward Islands and thenortheastern coast of Venezuela Tuesday night and Wednesday.* Formation chance through 48 hours high 70 percent.* Formation chance through 5 days high 90 percent.Northern Gulf of Mexico:Disorganized showers and T-Storms over the north-central Gulfof Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure. Developmentof this system is expected to be slow to occur while it moveswest-southwestward at about 10 mph toward the northwestern Gulf ofMexico and approaches the coasts of southern Texas and northeasternMexico during the next few days.* Formation chance through 48 hours low 10 percent.* Formation chance through 5 days low 20 percent.Eastern Tropical Atlantic:A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of theCabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers andT-Storms. Environmental conditions could become conducive forgradual development later this week while the system moveswest-northwestward at around 15 mph over the central tropicalAtlantic.* Formation chance through 48 hours low near 0 percent.* Formation chance through 5 days low 20 percent.Forecaster Pasch